Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.032232 0.037671 0.043667 0.050755 0.058894 0.067936 0.078730
2025-07-13 0.025684 0.033170 0.042188 0.053804 0.068319 0.085801 0.108391
2025-07-20 0.020814 0.029348 0.040458 0.055867 0.076556 0.103223 0.140025
2025-07-27 0.016255 0.024838 0.036827 0.054599 0.080032 0.114829 0.165681
2025-08-03 0.013161 0.021633 0.034241 0.054074 0.084104 0.127391 0.193871
2025-08-10 0.010560 0.018587 0.031263 0.052325 0.085905 0.136656 0.218169
2025-08-17 0.008659 0.016246 0.028903 0.051021 0.087983 0.146291 0.243784
2025-08-24 0.007395 0.014716 0.027560 0.051056 0.092027 0.159187 0.275579
2025-08-31 0.006173 0.013013 0.025613 0.049710 0.093476 0.167890 0.301312
2025-09-07 0.005637 0.012501 0.025696 0.051919 0.101249 0.187793 0.347522
2025-09-14 0.004927 0.011501 0.024696 0.051947 0.105035 0.201108 0.383561
2025-09-21 0.004189 0.010296 0.023095 0.050563 0.105959 0.209325 0.411202
2025-09-28 0.003614 0.009352 0.021906 0.049890 0.108279 0.220532 0.445818
2025-10-05 0.003397 0.009195 0.022360 0.052677 0.117804 0.246237 0.510020
2025-10-12 0.003134 0.008875 0.022403 0.054587 0.125749 0.269650 0.571993
2025-10-19 0.002694 0.008017 0.021084 0.053290 0.126765 0.279421 0.608089
2025-10-26 0.002362 0.007373 0.020160 0.052749 0.129323 0.292513 0.651970
2025-11-02 0.002017 0.006613 0.018821 0.051026 0.129006 0.299539 0.683949
2025-11-09 0.001742 0.005994 0.017734 0.049745 0.129521 0.308326 0.720326
2025-11-16 0.001560 0.005612 0.017201 0.049776 0.133112 0.324106 0.772995
2025-11-23 0.001351 0.005093 0.016208 0.048460 0.133264 0.332196 0.809471
2025-11-30 0.001285 0.005031 0.016497 0.050616 0.142296 0.361322 0.895360
2025-12-07 0.001158 0.004729 0.016035 0.050643 0.145904 0.378153 0.954649